Next Tuesday is the start or end of the campaign
In confirmation of Ukraine Today's earlier comments September 4 is shaping up to become the next real test of authority and justification for the holding of fresh parliamentary elections scheduled on September 30.
Ukraine's Minister of justice, Oleksandr Lavrynovych, has confirmed what we have been saying for months in a statement published by Ukrayinska Pravda "... there will be no early parliamentary election in the event the Verkhovna Rada registers 300 MPs."
Olexandr Lavrynovych is convinced that the Verkhovna Rada will thereby demonstrate its competence.
Under Article 83 of Ukraine's Constitution the parliament must convene its regular Autumn session on the first Tuesday in September. If the plenary session session can not be held then according to Article 90 section 3 of Ukraine's constitution the President must wait 30 days before he has the power to terminate the authority of the parliament.
Kyiv post has reported that only 120 members of parliament have resigned.
If 300 or more members of parliament register their attendance on September 4 then the September 30 elections could be in doubt.
It is unknown if the president or the opposition will ty and prevent parliament from sitting - Something that is a criminal officence
Party of Regions have indicated that they will attend the scheduled plenary session whilst the communist party has provided conflicting statements. It is understood that the opposition will not be in attendance.
One of the issues to be considered at the September 4 session is the question of immunity for parliamentarians, teh judiciary and the president. An issue the opposition have campaigned on. The Government has called on all Parliamentary factions to resolve the issue of immunity prior top the September 30 poll.
It is difficult to see under what circumstances the session can be held if as claimed by the president and the opposition over 161 members of parliament have resigned. But the laws on resignation are sketchy, as we saw when Yulia Tymoshenko resigned earlier only to reclaim her entitlement at a later date in order to particpate in the July parliamentary session.
Thursday, August 30, 2007
Next Tuesday is the start or end of the campaign
The President’s advisor Stepan Havrysh does not rule out the possibility of holding simultaneous early parliamentary and presidential elections if the constitutional amendments preparation will not begin right after the September 30 elections.
“If we fail to hold a nationwide debate, draw the President, Parliament, political forces, government and the judiciary into it, we will face government uncontrollably,” he said at a Tuesday press-conference, Interfax-Ukraine news agency reports.
Mr. Havrysh claims that early parliamentary elections will not remove the confrontation between power branches that inevitably lead to a clash.
It is necessary to form a national constitutional council aimed at elaborating the new Constitution.
The council must consist of public representatives each representing 70,000 voters.
A draft Constitution must be prepared by specialists before brining it up for discussion.
In Mr. Havrysh’s opinion, a new draft Constitution may be approved at the end of 2008 or beginning of 2009.
It should stipulate a new system of parliamentary elections. Mr. Havrysh himself stands up for a two-chamber parliament.
After this it is desirable to call new early parliamentary elections on the basis of the new election system.
The President’s Secretariat is currently considering Mr. Havrysh’s proposal.
Source: Ukrayinska Pravda
Saturday, August 25, 2007
Wednesday, August 15, 2007
Three more polls were published this week Two of the polls notionally place the opposition within a slender winning position. One of the polls which has been incorrectly assessed by the reporting media who reported four parties woudl secure representaion when in fact the poll indicates that five political blocks will be represented in the VI convocation of Ukraine's Parliament. Former Ukrainian parliamentary speaker Lytvyn Peoples Party polled 2.8% with the participation rate of 89% Lytvyn which would receive 3.1% of the expected vote and secure 18 parliamentary seats the number of undecided is over 10% and could really decide the outcome of the election snap election.
The Sofia poll also reported on the all important trust factor with more then 52% of Ukrainians distrusting Ukraine's President, Viktor Yushchenko.
Poll Statistics Publication Date 14-Aug-07 Poll Dates from 27-Jul-07 to 07-Aug-07 Party/Bloc % vote % poll # seats % seats PoR 32.1% 32.1% 213 47.3% BYuT 16.8% 16.8% 112 24.8% OU-PSD * 14.9% 14.9% 99 22.0% CPU 4.0% 4.0% 27 5.9% PSD * SPU 2.0% 2.0% NVB LPB 2.4% 2.4% VSB-FO Viche Others Undecided None Uknown 27.8% 27.8% Particpation Rate/Sum 100.0% 100.0% 450 100.0% No Vote 0.0% Gov (PoR+CPU) +SPU 240 Opp (OUPSD+BYuT) 210 Poll Statistics Publication Date 9-Aug-07 Poll Dates from 30-Jul-07 to 04-Aug-07 Party/Bloc % vote % poll # seats % seats PoR 29.6% 32.7% 188 41.8% BYuT 26.0% 28.8% 165 36.7% OU-PSD * 11.9% 13.2% 76 16.8% CPU 3.3% 3.7% 21 4.7% PSD * SPU 1.4% 1.5% NVB 1.9% 2.1% LPB 1.6% 1.8% VSB-FO Viche Others 3.1% 3.4% Undecided 9.2% 10.2% None 2.4% 2.7% Uknown Particpation Rate/Sum 90.4% 100.0% 450 100.0% No Vote 9.6% Gov (PoR+CPU) +SPU 209 Opp (OUPSD+BYuT) 241 Other/Lytvn Bloc Poll Statistics Publication Date 14-Aug-07 Poll Dates from 23-Jul-07 to 01-Aug-07 Party/Bloc % vote % poll # seats % seats PoR 26.3% 29.3% 171 38.0% BYuT 21.4% 23.9% 139 30.9% OU-PSD * 14.1% 15.7% 92 20.3% CPU 4.7% 5.2% 31 6.8% PSD * SPU 1.1% 1.2% NVB 0.7% 0.8% LPB 2.8% 3.1% 18 4.0% VSB-FO Viche Others 5.6% 6.2% Undecided 9.4% 10.5% None 3.6% 4.0% Uknown Particpation Rate/Sum 89.7% 100.0% 450 100.0% No Vote 10.3% Gov (PoR+CPU) +SPU 201 Opp (OUPSD+BYuT) 231 Other/Lytvn Bloc 18