Analysis of the causes of the crash of Flight MH17 (Malaysian Boeing 777)
As a result of this work we offer the following analytical material.
• A flight from Copenhagen to Singapore at 17:17;
• A flight from Paris to Taipei at 17:24;
• A flight from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur.
Weather records in Torez Donetsk region on Thursday, July 17, 2014
Wind Speed (m/s)
Picture 1. Fragment of the Boeing 777 plane
Фото 1. Фрагмент плоскости Boeing 777
Photo 2. Fragment of the Boeing 777's shell
Фото 2. Фрагмент обшивки Boeing 777
Photo 3. Fragment of the Boeing 777 plane
Фото 3. Фрагмент плоскости Boeing 777
Picture 4. Detail of the Boeing 777 plane
Фото 4. Фрагмент плоскости Boeing 777
Picture 5. Detail of the Boeing 777's fuselage
Фото 5. Фрагмент фюзеляжа Boeing 777
Photo 6. Detail of the Boeing 777 cockpit
Фото 6. Фрагмент кабины Boeing 777
Photo 7. Boeing 777
Фото 7. Boeing 777
Type C. - continued controlled flight with the possibility of landing if necessary repairs can be made.
We have studied those basic versions which have already been presented by experts from various countries. Taking into consideration the technical side of the issue, we can assert that the Boeing 777 was destroyed by means of anti-aircraft weapons - either by ground-launched anti-aircraft missiles or by other aircraft armed with missiles and cannon.
Using the methods of engineering analysis, the experts of the Russian Union of Engineers have looked at both of these versions, which practically all the pronouncements of experts and specialists converge toward.
Photo 8. SAM 9K37M1 "Buk-M1"
Фото 8. ЗРК 9К37М1 «Бук-М1»
Fig.2. Grouping Ukrainian SAM
Рис.2. Группировка украинских ЗРК
Grouping of Ukrainian troops on July 17 in the crash site numbered 3-4 Position "Buk-M1." This was stated by the Russian Ministry of Defense. The Chief of the Main Operations Directorate of the General Staff, Lieutenant-General Andrew Kartopolov, stressed that the Russian side has pictures from aerial locations of the individual units of the Ukrainian army in the south-east of Ukraine, in particular, "Bukov," 8 km from Lugansk. And on the morning of the day a Malaysian aircraft came down, Russian monitors found a battery SAM "Buk-M1" near the village of Zaroschenskoe. That day it was moved to Donetsk - in the area where the militia are located. We believe these data are objective and accurate.
Photo 9. RLC 9С18М1 "Dome"
Фото 9. РЛС 9С18М1 «Купол»
- There is a great deal of noise; both at launch and during the missile flight (esp. between altitudes 100 to 3000m.)
- There is a powerful explosion at the launch site (Photograph 10).
- There is a trail of exhaust, created by the missile, as a result of the burning of fuel during its flight (Photograph 11).
- There is an explosion with a known signature in the air locality at the point of impact between the rocket and its target (Photograph 12).
c) The impact of the warhead follows a characteristic pattern which can be observed from the ground during clear weather.
Photograph 12. BUK M1 strikes a target
Фото 12. Поражение воздушной цели ракетой ЗРК «Бук-М1»
Photo 13. Anti-Aircraft Missile 9М38 BUK M1Фото 13. Ракеты 9М38 ЗРК «Бук-М1»
Photo 14. MIG-29
Фото 14. МиГ-29
Photo 15. SU-25
Фото 15. Су-25
Armament: 1 × GSh-30-2 30mm cannon mounted below the nose of the plane with 250 rounds
Guided Missiles: Kh-23 (AS-7), AS-9, Kh-25L (AS-10), Kh-29 (AS-14) air-to-surface missiles, K-13 (AA-2) or R-60 (AA-8) air-to-air missiles
SPPU-22 Containers with double-barrelled 23-mm GSH-23L Cannon with 260 rounds
Рис.3. Статистика активности украинских РЛС
в районе гибели малайзийского Boeing 777
The activity of Radar Location Stations (RLS) can testify to the active deployment of military aviation insofar as the RLS is actively used for air reconnaissance and the transmission of information to the aviation control centre. It is common to provide data to assist the navigator in the coordination of single or groups of fighters to fulfil missions. Such missions include Air Superiority or ambush operations. In these missions an attack can take place either head on or in pursuit with co-ordination from the ground.
Photo 16. An R-60M Missile externally loaded on the aircraft Фото 16. Ракеты Р-60М на внешней подвеске самолета
Photo 18. Aircraft Cannon GSh-2-30
Фото 18. Авиационная пушка ГШ-2-30
Damage to the Boeing 777 is not characteristic of the SAM "BUK-M1" missile
Photo 19. Damage to the flat surfaces of the Boeing 777
Фото 19. Повреждения плоскости Boeing 777
Photo 22. nature of the damage skin Boeing 777
Фото 22. Характер повреждений обшивки Boeing 777
Fragment of Boeing 777.
Taken off the rivet.
Rupture of the fuselage from the inside to the outside edges of the impact blow that is caused by any explosion inside the airplane, or a sharp drop in internal pressure at high altitude
As a result of multiple hits from shells there was damage to the cockpit, which suddenly depressurized, resulting in instant death for the crew due to mechanical influences and decompression. The attack was sudden and lasted a fraction of a second; in such circumstances the crew could not sound any alarm as the flight had been proceeding in regular mode and no attack was expected.
On 17.07.2014, the armed forces of the self-proclaimed Donetsk National Republic had no relevant combat aircraft capable of destroying an aerial target similar to the Boeing 777, nor the necessary airfield network, nor the means of radar detection, targeting and tracking.
Translation by: Alice & Gideon (Russian Saker / Oceania Saker)
Editing & Production: Augmented Ether (Oceania Saker)
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